NBA Multi bet of the Weekend | Mar 2

We had a clean sweep yesterday, hitting all three bets including a $2.50 outsider to wrap up a perfect day’s work. We’ll look to do the same again for our weekend multi, which takes place over a six-game slate of NBA action on Sunday – a day which kicks off with a pretty grim matchup between the Hornets and Wizards but gets more interesting as the day goes on. Our multi begins with a player prop in that game, before moving on to what looks like a really solid under and ending with another, slightly obscure, player prop. Take a look at the reasoning below.

Sunday 2nd of March, 10.00am AEDT, Spectrum Center

Poor old Khris Middleton can’t be too happy with his new home. After spending more than a decade with the Bucks and helping them to a Championship in 2021, injuries have seen him struggle to get on the floor for years now, and a few weeks ago he was unceremoniously sent away to the worst team in the league in place of Kyle Kuzma. The Wizards are a rebuilding team – to put it politely – and Middleton’s timeline does not exactly fit in with theirs, so don’t expect him to spend all that long there. Professional a player as he is, it’s hard to see him being too invested in this team, and given he has been playing limited minutes and struggling when he is on the floor even when he was still in Milwaukee, his output as a Wizard won’t likely be even close to what it was in his prime. That has been well and truly evident through his first three games in the state capital. In those games he has played an average of just 25 minutes, and scored a total of 27 points at an average of 9 per game. That isn’t great, though he was averaging only 12.6 this season in Milwaukee anyway. But despite all that, the line set by betting agencies for him in this game is 14.5. Make some sense of that. That looks way too high given that he will most likely only play around 25 minutes once again, and probably take less than 10 shots. Middleton’s expected total in this game is probably closer to 10, so the under here looks like a great way to kick off our multi.

Sunday 2nd of March, 12.00pm AEDT, FedExForum

The Grizzlies are a high-scoring team, but NBA betting sites seem to be going a little overboard on their over/unders of late. We hit on them easily yesterday by taking the under in their game against the Knicks, which was set at an enormous 245.5 – the game ended up with 227 points. On Sunday they will play the second leg of a back to back against the Spurs, and the points line is not all that different to what it was yesterday, this time set at 243.5. Given they are playing a much lower scoring team than the Knicks, this seems like an even better bet than yesterdays. The Grizzlies themselves have only gone over this points line in three of their past ten games, but for the Spurs the numbers speak even more loudly. They have cleared 243 points just twice in their past 12 games, and have not on a solitary occasion in their last six. They haven’t got close, either – the highest scoring game out of those last six saw 235 points scored, and the average points total has been 221.5. Without Victor Wembanyama on the floor they are obviously worse defensively, but they have are still ranked 11th in the league since his season-long absence began after the All-Star break, while their offence in those five games has been the second worst in the league. This is a game between a low scoring team and a high scoring team, and the expected points total should be around the league average, rather than way up at 243.5. This line looks way too high, and the under should keep our multi rolling.

Sunday 2nd of March, 12.00pm, Toyota Center

This is a bit of a strange one to end, but the numbers point to it being a good chance of hitting and it adds a little bit of value to our multi, too. Let’s talk Tari Eason. The Rockets’ Swiss army knife is playing some great basketball and being rewarded with more minutes than he’s ever played before, playing close to 30 most nights. Eason brings plenty to the floor for Houston, with his defence one of the primary reasons that coach Ime Udoka is giving him so much playing time. Eason averages an impressive 1.9 steals per game this season, and that’s in just 24.4 minutes. In his past five games he has had at least one in every game and two in three of them, with an average of 2.4 per game in that time. Of course, steals can be a bit of an erratic statistic, but with this recent average combined with the Kings’ penchant for a turnover of late, the $2.15 on offer with PlayUp for him to grab two or more steals in this game looks like good value. Over the course of the year the Kings have been pretty solid at holding onto the ball, but most of that is irrelevant now, with the man spending most of the time with the ball in De’Aaron Fox now in San Antonio. Since he has left and Zach LaVine has come in, the Kings have gone from the top five in turnover rate to 3rd last, giving the ball up on a concerning 16.7% of possessions. Not all turnovers are steals but plenty of them are, and with the Kings’ plethora of ball handlers throwing the ball around like a hot potato, Eason should get plenty of opportunities to continue his streak of steals and make our multi a winning one.