Last year, Patrick Cripps made history by recording an extraordinary 45 votes en route to his second Brownlow Medal win. Realistically his season wasn’t that far superior to every other in history like that vote tally would suggest, but he did have a terrific and very consistent year, and he has consistently polled well throughout his career.
He entered this season as a close second-favourite to Nick Daicos, but that gap very quickly widened after a disappointing start to the season for the Blues, leaving the Magpies star heads and shoulders above the rest. But while that gap has widened, he has not actually shortened and there are a host of players not competing not all that far back. There are a huge number of players who could feasibly compete for the AFL’s most prestigious individual honour, so let’s dive in and take a look at some of the best chances.
AFL 2025 Brownlow Medal Betting
AFL 2025 Brownlow Medal Odds
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| Nick Daicos | $6.50 | $6.50 | $5.00 |
| Patrick Cripps | $13.00 | $13.00 | $13.00 |
| Jordan Dawson | $13.00 | $13.00 | $13.00 |
| Caleb Serong | $15.00 | $15.00 | $17.00 |
| Tom Green | $17.00 | $17.00 | $19.00 |
| Lachie Neale | $19.00 | $19.00 | $21.00 |
| Christian Petracca | $21.00 | $21.00 | $26.00 |
| Finn Callaghan | $21.00 | $21.00 | $21.00 |
| Jai Newcombe | $21.00 | $21.00 | $21.00 |
| Connor Rozee | $21.00 | $21.00 | $26.00 |
| Will Day | $21.00 | $21.00 | $21.00 |
Nick Daicos (Collingwood Magpies)
Three years into his AFL career, and Nick Daicos could already very easily have two Brownlow Medals to his name. After polling 11 votes in his debut season, he picked up 28 in his second – and had 28 with six weeks to go. A couple of non-polling games and then an injury stopped him there and prevented him from winning, while last year he picked up an enormous 38 votes – only to be bested by Cripps’ ridiculous 45.
Clearly, Nick Daicos is a prolific vote-getter, and for good reason. His start to the season wasn’t electric by any means as he picked up just 21 touches in a nine-goal loss to the Giants, but the Magpies won their next two and he played a significant part, particularly in Round 3 against the Bulldogs when he racked up 39 touches. Those kinds of performances are likely to be relatively common from one of the best accumulators in the business, and with his ability to use it like few others in the game that is a sure-fire way to attract the eyes of the men and women in whatever colour the umpires happen to be wearing that day. As much as anyone in the league, it’s almost impossible to imagine Daicos not being right towards the top of the leaderboard come Brownlow night, and the $6.50 on offer for him with some betting apps might be the longest you’ll get.
Bet on Nick Daicos to win the Brownlow Medal @ $6.50 with PlayUp
Patrick Cripps (Carlton Blues)
Patrick Cripps certainly was not responsible for the Blues wonky start to the season, with the two-time Brownlow Medal winner picking up where he left off last year with 32 and 29 touches in their opening two losses. But the way his odds have so quickly ballooned out with Australian betting sites is indicative of the fact that to be competitive in the Brownlow, your team needs to be winning plenty of games.
The Blues still may do that, and at worst they should be at least competing for a finals spot – it’s not as though Cripps is going to be playing for a bottom-feeder. And as he showed last year, this man is as capable of anyone in the league – well last year at least, as capable as anyone in history – of accumulating votes. The 45 that he managed last year was, even if a little excessive, a testament to his consistency, and if the Blues can at least win 10 or 12 games this year – which they really should be – their skipper will likely be in the mix again. With his odds having blown out so quickly, he looks like a lot better value now than he did entering the season.
Bet on Patrick Cripps to win the Brownlow Medal @ $13.00 with PlayUp
Jordan Dawson (Adelaide Crows)
While Patrick Cripps was an early mover in terms of lengthening odds, his captain counterpart in Adelaide has gone in the opposite direction. The Crows enjoyed a brilliant start to the season, putting up huge scores en route to ten-goal wins against the Saints and Bombers, and with their prospects of making the top eight and even challenging for the top four starting to look a lot brighter, so too are the Brownlow chances of their captain.
Jordan Dawson has been leading the way for a couple of years now at the Crows, and his start to this season has seen that trend continue. He picked up 27 touches and booted two goals in their opening game before backing that up with 33 possessions in their second, and while he might have a few teammates capable of putting in more eye-catching performances, none of them will put themselves in the conversation for votes as regularly as their skipper. Dawson has well and truly established himself as one of the game’s elite, and if things keep going the way they have started for Adelaide he could easily find himself with a Brownlow Medal around his neck come season’s end.
Bet on Jordan Dawson to win the Brownlow Medal @ $13.00 with PlayUp
Caleb Serong (Fremantle Dockers)
Caleb Serong has established himself as one of the pre-eminent vote-getters in the game over the past couple of years, accumulating 24 and then 28 votes in 2023 and 2024 respectively. He still entered the season at the relatively long odds of $23, particularly given Fremantle’s potential to make a big jump, but it was strange to see his odds shorten after a couple of weeks given his team’s start. While Cripps’ odds doubled as a result of a couple of disappointing losses despite strong personal performances, those of Serong nearly halved as Freo also lost their two games, and he didn’t even play particularly well in them.
He was solid in their season-opener with 27 touches but his Dockers lost by 15 goals, while in their much closer Round 2 loss he managed just 19. Of course, it is a long season, the Dockers should get better and Serong will likely be among their best players pretty regularly when they do, so this is certainly not to say he’s not worth considering. But factoring in where he started in the betting and his start to the season, it’s bizarre to see him come in so substantially and at least for the time being, he looks like one to avoid.
Bet on Caleb Serong to win the Brownlow Medal @ $15.00 with PlayUp
Tom Green (Greater Western Sydney Giants)
Tom Green clearly has the capacity to be among the absolute elites of the competition, if he isn’t already, having picked up 27 Brownlow votes last year in what was his fifth season in the AFL. And with his Giants looking likely to win plenty of games in 2025, there is no reason to think he won’t improve on that number this season. Green had a slightly delayed start to the season through injury, but with the Giants’ Opening Round clash postponed due to Cyclone Alfred, he only ended up missing a solitary game. Upon returning, he wasted no time finding his best form, picking up 35 disposals and booting a goal in just 76% game time against the Demons.
Green’s huge frame enables him to be one of the dominant contested ball winners in the game, and his ability to get his arms free and find teammates in space when under all sorts of pressure is better than almost anybody in the league. Green also has plenty of aerial ability, and if he can find a way to hit the scoreboard more regularly than he has thus far in his career – something his attributes suggest he should be more than capable of – he will take his game to another level entirely. The Giants have plenty of quality players who could take votes off Green, but it would be no surprise to see him pushing 30 votes or more come season’s end and putting himself right in the mix at good odds.
Bet on Tom Green to win the Brownlow Medal @ $17.00 with PlayUp
Lachie Neale (Brisbane Lions)
Last season was the first time in a long while that Neale polled less votes than expected, the two-time Brownlow Medallist having established himself as one of the best pollers in the game’s history over the past few years. Incredibly, the 22 votes he accumulated last season was his second lowest total since 2018, with at least 26 coming in 2019, 2020, 2022 and 2023. Set to turn 32 in May of this year, Neale is reaching the back-end of his career, but he remains one of the best ball-winners in the game and is playing for a Brisbane team expected to once again win plenty of games.
Neale’s start to the season was bizarrely quiet – he had just 10 disposals against the Swans, five less than he has had in any other game since 2017!! But he was quick to show that that slow start was nothing more than an anomaly, as he returned to his best with 35 touches against the Eagles the following week. Neale is a brilliant player and thoroughly deserving of his accolades, but he also benefits from a Brownlow perspective from being on a very good and very well-balanced team without as many standout superstars as some other contenders. His ability to so consistently get around 30 high-level touches, often in a winning team, means he is always in the mix for Brownlow votes. I thought he was good value most of last year and he fell a long way short, but don’t be surprised to see him in the mix again in 2025.
Bet on Lachie Neale to win the Brownlow Medal @ $19.00 with PlayUp
Christian Petracca (Melbourne Demons)
Christian Petracca has been a perennial player on Brownlow Medal night for many years now, having picked up, in order, 20, 23, 24 and then 26 votes between 2020 and 2023. He was on track to again increase that number last year with 16 votes through 12 games before his season was abruptly ended by a horrible internal injury from a big in-game collision. But having had around 9 months to recover from that ordeal, he appears to have come back as good as ever.
In his first two games of the season, Petracca had 27 touches and two goals in a tight loss to the Giants, and then 23 and 1 in a disappointing defeat to the Kangaroos. His ability to have standout games with high-possession numbers and multiple goals mean at his best, he is nearly impossible to ignore from a voting perspective. Petracca’s main barrier to polling this year may be more to do with his team than his own form. The Demons fell dramatically down the ladder last year, and while they will still be hoping to have another push in them with an aging list, their start to the season did not inspire confidence in anyone. If the Dees do struggle it will be very tough for Petracca to beat the names above, but if they can make their way up into the top eight he will likely be polling plenty of votes.
Bet on Caleb Serong to win the Brownlow Medal at $23.00 with PlayUp
Finn Callaghan (Greater Western Giants)
This may be jumping the gun a little early, but AFL betting sites have shown no hesitation in climbing aboard the Callaghan train early in the season, and potentially for good reason. The number two pick from the 2021 draft has shown plenty in his first three season in the league, but unlike every other name in this list, his name being in this conversation is a product of potential far more than past performance. Last year was the first in which he picked up a Brownlow vote, and he ended the year with just 6 – not exactly in the mix to win it.
But there was plenty of chatter about his potential improvement this season in the build-up to it, and he showed why in his first two games of the year. In the first 50 games of his career, Callaghan managed to hit the 30-disposal mark just twice, but in games 51 and 52 – his first two of the 2025 season – he doubled that number, accumulating 33 in Round 1 (and two goals to go with it) and 31 in Round 2. Callaghan is a brilliant mover and a brilliant user, and with all of those touches and very few of them going to waste he will attract plenty of attention from the umpires. Like his teammate Tom Green, Callaghan will have plenty of competition for votes, but if his first two games are anything to go by he will be hard to ignore. Perhaps he is a little too short given the lack of previous polling, particularly given it often takes players a year or two to get the attention they deserve on Brownlow night, but his ceiling is very high and he could easily elevate himself into the elite players in the league this season.
Bet on Finn Callaghan to win the Brownlow Medal @ $21.00 with PlayUp
